李源，男，博士，副教授，硕士生导师。研究兴趣主要包括：大气季节内振荡、短中期定量降水预报、中长期降水概率预测、陆气耦合洪水预报、大范围干旱动态监测与预测等方面。主持国家自然科学基金青年项目1项，中国博士后科学基金面上项目1项、江苏省博士后基金资助项目1项；作为主要技术骨干参与长江水科学研究联合基金、国家自然基金面上项目、国家重点研发计划等多项科研项目。在Hydrology and Earth System Sciences、Journal of Hydrology、Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology等学术期刊上发表论文10余篇；参与撰写《大范围干旱动态监测与预测》专著1部。目前担任Weather and Forecasting、Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies等多个期刊审稿人。

第一作者论文：

[1] Yuan Li, et al. Improving sub-seasonal extreme precipitation forecasts over China through a hybrid statistical-dynamical framework. Journal of Hydrology, 643 (2024) 131972（TOP SCI，T1区）

[2] Yuan Li, et al. A statistical–dynamical approach for probabilistic prediction of sub-seasonal precipitation anomalies over 17 hydroclimatic regions in China. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Volume 27, Issue 22, 4187-4203, 2023（TOP SCI，T1区）

[3] Yuan Li, et al. Probabilistic subseasonal precipitation forecasts using preceding atmospheric intraseasonal signals in a Bayesian perspective. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,10.5194/hess-26-4975-2022（TOP SCI，T1区）

[4] Yuan Li, et al. Post-processing sub-seasonal precipitation forecasts at various spatiotemporal scales across China during boreal summer monsoon. Journal of Hydrology, 598(2021)125742（TOP SCI，T1区）

[5] Yuan Li, Quan J. WANG, et al. A method to extend temporal coverage of high quality precipitation datasets by calibrating reanalysis estimates. Journal of Hydrology, 581(2020)124355（TOP SCI，T1区）

[6] Yuan Li, et al. Deterministic and probabilistic evaluation of sub-seasonal precipitation forecasts at various spatiotemporal scales over China during the boreal summer monsoon. Atmosphere, Volume 12, Issue 8, 1049, 2021(SCI)

[7] Yuan Li, et al. Sensitivity of Dynamical Downscaling Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts to Convection and Land Surface Parameterization in a High-Resolution Regional Climate Model.Advances in Meteorology, Volume 2019, 1-14, 2019（SCI）

[8] Yuan Li, et al. High-Resolution Dynamical Downscaling of Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the Hanjiang Basin in China Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology,Volume 56, Issue 5, 1515-1536, 2017(SCI)

[9] Yuan Li, et al. Evaluation of optimized WRF precipitation forecast over a complex topography region during flood season.Atmosphere, Volume 7, Issue 11, 145, 2016(SCI)

[10] Yuan Li, et al. Study of a dynamic downscaling scheme for quantitative precipitation forecasting. Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, Volume 368, 108-113, 2015 (EI)

[11] 李源, 陆桂华, 吴志勇, 何海. WRF模式积云对流参数化方案对汉江流域夏季降水模拟的影响. 第33届中国气象学会年会, 2016



其他合作论文：

[1] 李杨千, 何海, 金双彦, 吴志勇, 李源. 基于改进水文模拟法的洛河径流变化归因分析. 中国农村水利水电, 2024 (06)

[2] 何海, 白博宇, 刘杨合, 李曈, 徐健, 李源, 吴志勇. 基于流域储水量精细化模拟的干旱指数构建及应用. 水资源保护, 2024, 40 (05)

[3] Yin Hao, Fowler Hayley J, Blenkinsop Stephen, Wu Zhiyong, He Hai, Li Yuan. ENSO and IOD contributions to seasonal meteorological droughts over the Yangtze River basin. International Journal of Climatology, Volume 43, Issue 16, 8120-8136, 2023(SCI)

[4]徐敏, 王洁, 朱永华, 吕海深, 李源. 基于Hydrus-1D模型的淮北平原冬小麦地潜水蒸发规律. 湖北农业科学, 2023, 62 (06)

[5] 吴志勇, 张静杰, 何海, 李源, 张宇亮. 区域抗旱能力评价研究进展. 人民长江. 2023 ,54 (09)

[6] 吴志勇, 白博宇, 何海, 李源, 徐华亭. 珠江流域1981-2020年水文干旱时空特征分析. beat365体育官网平台学报(自然科学版), 2023, 51 (01)

[7] 吴志勇, 范思琦, 何海, 李源. 湖南省农业干旱灾害风险区划研究. 水资源保护, 2023, 39 (02)

[8] 吴志勇, 张静杰, 程丹丹, 范思琦, 何海, 李源. 考虑地表-土壤-作物水分联合亏缺的综合旱情指数研究. 水资源保护, 2023, 39 (03)

[9] 吴志勇, 汪瑛琪, 何海, 李源, 孙昭敏. 水库抗暴雨能力概率预报的降雨情景构建方法. 水资源保护, 2022, 38 (03)

[10] Wu Zhiyong, Yin Hao, He Hai, Li Yuan. Dynamic-LSTM hybrid models to improve seasonal drought predictions over China. Journal of Hydrology, 615(2022)128706（TOP SCI，T1区）

[11] Hai He, Rui Cao, Zhi-yong Wu, Yuan Li, Hao Yin, Fei Yuan.Diagnosing anomalous characteristics of atmospheric water cycle structure during seasonal-scale drought events: A case study in middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River.Water Science and Engineering, Volume 15, Issue 2, 103-113, 2022（EI）

[12] 孙骁凡, 欧剑, 李源, 吴志勇, 尹喆彬. 浙南山区小流域WRF模式参数化方案对比与优化组合. 科学技术与工程, 2022, 22 (15)

[13] 吴志勇, 程丹丹, 何海,李源, 周建宏. 综合干旱指数研究进展. 水资源保护, 2021 ,37 (01)

[14] 吴志勇, 侍恒, 何海, 徐征光, 李源, 倪用鑫. 岔巴沟流域植被变化特征及其对水沙的影响. 水资源保护, 2020, 36 (01)

[15] 徐敏, 朱永华, 李源, 吕海深, 陈亚宁. 淮北平原实际蒸散量计算及时空分布特征分析. 水电能源科学, 2016, 34 (01)

[16] Xu M, Zhu Y, Lü H, Li Y, Zhou, X, Chen Y. Eco-environmental quality evaluation of Huaibei Plain. Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, Volume 368, 436-441, 2015(CPCI-S)

[17] Shi J, Wu ZY, Lu, GH, Li, Y. Design and Application of WRF Computing Platform Based on B/S Structure. International Conference on Mechatronic Sciences, Electric Engineering and Computer (MEC), DEC 20-22, 2013